Ally Financial (ALLY) is back in focus after third quarter net income reached US$433 million, up from US$398 million a year earlier, alongside a higher common dividend and steady share repurchases.
The recent rally around Ally Financial has started to cool, with the share price down 8.99% over the past 90 days, even after a 3.66% 7-day share price return and a higher dividend. The 3-year total shareholder return of 82.89% contrasts with a decline of 3.88% over the past year.
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Ally Financial has raised earnings, lifted its common dividend and kept buying back stock, yet the share price has cooled. Is most of the easy upside already gone, or is the valuation still leaving room?
Most Popular Narrative: 20% Undervalued
The most followed narrative on Ally Financial pegs fair value at about $48.78, compared with a last close of $39.06. As a result, the gap investors are debating is clear.
Ongoing balance sheet remixing into higher-yielding retail auto and Corporate Finance loans, alongside disciplined deposit pricing that has produced a 69% beta on liquid deposits, is supporting net interest margin in the 3.6% to 3.7% range and can remain an important driver of revenue and earnings.
See why 43 investors see Ally Financial as 20% undervalued.
Result: Fair Value of $48.78 (UNDERVALUED)
Still, the Ally Financial story can change quickly if auto lending volumes weaken, or if electric vehicle and direct sales trends reduce demand for traditional financing.
Find out about the key risks to this Ally Financial narrative.
Next Steps
Sentiment around Ally Financial is mixed, so it helps to see the underlying numbers and form a view quickly while the data is fresh. To understand what optimistic investors are focusing on, review the 5 key rewards.
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